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Chateau Heartiste

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« And neither will we ever forget
Telegony Is Real (& etc) »

November 2018 Midterm Election Prediction

September 13, 2018 by CH

GOP will hold the Senate.

House race too close to call. Newly elected reps will be either Fuggernaut Freakazoids from the coasts or pro-Trump Dems.

If the House flips, blame suburban married White women and urban single White women. These dumb traitorous broads can’t resist the siren song of the lying scumbag Fake News media. The ZOGbeat of anti-Trump hysteria is taking its toll on the weaker sex.

As I’ve been saying for a while, our unregulated womenfolk will be the end of our nation. 2018 may seal the deal.

***

An emailer cheers me up:

If the Ds get the House in 2018, Trump gets to beat the shit out of them for inaction doing nothing for two years, while the Senate continues to appoint his judges.

He retakes the House with pro-Trump candidates in 2020 as part of his landslide reelection.

Don’t get depressed. All great movements have their ups and downs. The disintegration of the idiocy on the Left will be a long painful process, and the assertion of Trumpian values will take many years.

Marathon not sprint!

Stay happy!

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Posted in Globalization, GloboHomoBezos Ministry of Propaganda, Goodbye America, Trumperica | 110 Comments

110 Responses

  1. on September 13, 2018 at 12:36 pm Jonathan Castle

    It’s normal for the president to lose in a mid-term. The fact that it’s so close is actually encouraging.

    And if Dems win the house, that could actually be good for Trump 2020.

    Soldier on.

    LikeLiked by 2 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:42 pm Trump Card

      But imminent impeachment doesn’t usually loom overhead, as is the current case.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:47 pm Captain Obvious

      If the DEMs win anything at all, it’ll be because of Cuck Ryan & B!tch McConnell [& Gaysick & the Bushes & all the rest of them].

      It’s the ultimate back-st@bbing tre@son courtesy of your friendly neighborhood Passive Aggressive Personality Disorder Deep State Ch!ld M0lesters.

      And L’il Cuck Ryan will laugh about it with glee for as long as his neck is not suspended via p!ano w!re from a lampp0ast.

      LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 12:54 pm Captain Obvious

        BTW, the Normies over at Free Republic are calling for teh Bushes to be suspended from cherry trees. http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3687265/posts

        LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 12:54 pm Captain Obvious

        I dunno – the limbs might snap on a cherry tree – might need to look for beech or oak or poplar.

        LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 14, 2018 at 1:46 pm Captain John Charity Spring MA

        He’s partly Jewish so Cuck doesn’t fit. He’s more Saul L’Chaim than anything else.

        LikeLike


      • on September 14, 2018 at 7:44 pm Dude

        I wouldn’t be so hard on McConnell. He held Scalia’s seat until Trump won. Now he’s pushing through Kavanaugh. We’ll most likely see RGB retire, if not this term, then 2nd term ( God willing ). Let’s not forget the record pace of judicial confirmations going on right now. Cocaine Mitch takes no prisoners. Just make sure you vote in November, and take at least one MAGA voter with you.

        LikeLike


      • on September 16, 2018 at 4:58 am M Simon

        The Dems are doing well running against pot Prohibition.

        I predicted they would try this 7 years ago. I was a little early.

        http://www.americanthinker.com/2011/09/the_democrats_2012_victory_plan.html

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 2:17 pm markpower49

      If there is an economic contraction, which is expected (can’t fight business cycles), the Democrats will be blamed if they take the House.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 3:25 pm Lovekraft

      The right has to retrain its loose cannons, sit back and watch people get more tired of the Shumer/Pelosi smugness and incompetence as they cement themselves as the Party of False Promises and Debt.

      The Syrian false flags that are rumored could be something else entirely, however. No one outside of the Middle East should be doing any fighting for the Saudis, the Tribe or Erdogan.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 5:17 pm Ripp

      This ‘blue wave’ idea is a media induced fabrication.

      But I do agree, the GOP cuckstablishment (Ryan & McConnel) are sandbaggers. In not just the midterms but many, many things. Traitors by inaction. They need to hang.

      LikeLike


      • on September 15, 2018 at 10:16 am Canadian Friend

        The same media that said Hillary had a 95 % chance of being elected are now saying there is a blue wave.

        Need I say more ?

        LikeLike


  2. on September 13, 2018 at 12:37 pm racerxx

    Team Trump’s #1 priority after winning 2016 was to mitigate the voter fraud. We will see how effective that effort has been.

    Hold the line indeed.

    LikeLiked by 2 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:38 pm mendo

      ” . . .love isn’t always on time. . .”

      LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 3:06 pm Mick9

        No no no

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:50 pm Captain Obvious

      >>>>> “mitigate the voter fraud”

      Deep State Ch!ld M0lesters like Gaysick in Ohio will do everything they can to thwart The Trumpening.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:56 pm Rick

      How can you midigate something that doesn’t exist? What did the Kobach Commission find? Absolutely nothing of concern. Whine all you want and fantasize all you want about voter fraud. It is a made up problem by right wingers to try to disenfranchise voters who normally vote Democratic.

      [CH: kobach (and others) uncovered a lot of illegal voting, but the jewstream press refused to report on it, so that means you never heard about it because you prefer your delusions validated by like-minded shitlibs]

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:20 pm Captain Obvious

        Illegal Immigrants Cited In Theft of 39 Million Social Security Numbers http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3686739/posts

        LikeLiked by 2 people


      • on September 13, 2018 at 5:20 pm Ripp

        Ricktard: And its important to mention that states like California refused to turn over any information. California is a sanctuary state for illegal urban voting. Everyone knows that. You can see it with your eyes.

        LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 6:18 pm Lichthof

        California refused to comply whilst giving drivers licenses to illegals…

        LikeLike


  3. on September 13, 2018 at 12:40 pm Dude

    Losing the House won’t be good. The impeachment circus will ramp up, But, i’m confident we’ll hold the house and even gain a few seats. Make sure to vote, and take at least one person with you.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:39 pm trav777

      If the dems gain the house they will implode the whole show into theatrics, but it will be hard for anything to be done about corruption unless Trump fires Rosenstein and Sessions

      LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 7:06 am UndertheDRADIS

        Sessions may not actually be at Madame Tussaud’s Wax Museum. He has been chewing up some of the lower level Clinton Machine officials. I suspect in preparation for the Purge to come.

        LikeLike


  4. on September 13, 2018 at 12:49 pm November 2018 Midterm Election Prediction | @the_arv

    […] November 2018 Midterm Election Prediction […]

    LikeLike


  5. on September 13, 2018 at 12:50 pm Sentient

    Hold both, with a few new Trumpians in the mix…

    [There are NO real polls. All disinformation]

    LikeLiked by 2 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:51 pm Captain Obvious

      This.

      EVERYTHING IS PSYCHOLOGICAL W@RFARE NOW.

      Believe nothing.

      (((They))) are simply trying to demoralize us.

      LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:54 pm mendo

      There is no spoon

      nah…I’m just bored

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 12:58 pm Rick

      You saying there are no real polls is the real disinformation. Lots of you think all of America supports Trump but in secret. Nope not reality.

      [CH: polling companies are staffed by leftoids who routinely lie and massage their data to demoralize whites and embolden the orc hordes and their lickspittle sponsors such as your yenta self. one week before the 2016 election, numerous highly cited major polling outfits had thecunt up anywhere from 5 to 15% points. they managed this Nig Lie through various data manipulations, their most common tactic being a reliance on sample bias to skew results (GIGO)]

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:07 pm greginaurora

        “Hillary Clinton predicted 98% chance of winning election”

        LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:15 pm Sentient

        Look I know you jews are pissed off, after all you PAID for a win…

        lolzzzzzlolzzzlozzzl

        LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 2:12 pm stg58animalmother

        It’s ABTS, baby. All about the shekels!

        LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 5:22 pm Ripp

        Rick would you be so kind to post a source that provided an accurate polling of the 2016 presidential election?

        LikeLike


      • on September 15, 2018 at 10:21 am Canadian Friend

        Those ” real polls” back in 2016 were giving Hillary a 95 % chance of winning over Trump.

        Those polls are just as ” real” now as they were then.

        LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 7:08 am UndertheDRADIS

        Since the 2016 polling was clearly lies, I think the Beer-drinkers have tuned out of the MSM propaganda.

        LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 7:24 am Ironsides

        I remember watching the New York Times’ projection of who would win the election on election night. There were two parallel lines, IIRC, one blue for Hillary, one red for Trump.

        For most of the night, whenever I went back to that and refreshed it, the blue line was at the top, running parallel with “90%” for chance of winning, and the red line was at the bottom, around “10%.”

        It was very late in the evening, when it was pretty much undeniable that Trump had won — maybe an hour before Trump announced his victory — that the lines on the chart finally made a perfect X and changed places, the red line going up to 90% and the blue line down to 10%.

        Despite state after state going for Trump, it wasn’t until the Florida vote became indisputable that they finally changed the probabilities to give him more than a 10% chance of winning. Held out to the last on their prediction.

        I probably should have taken a screenshot for later amusement purposes.

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:04 pm Sentient

      Strap On we’ve been through this through the whole 2016 cycle, fist in the primary then the general. At each stage you declared it was impossible for Trump to win, because POLLS. You sucked Nate Silvers Jew cock so hard he now has a foreskin…

      And we learned that the POLLS were all kiky obfuscation and out and out lies… So you dildos can go on believing what (((they))) tell you.

      Da Goyim Know 😉

      #woke

      LikeLiked by 2 people


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:08 pm Sentient

        #NeverForget

        https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-night-forecast-2016/

        lolz

        LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 5:26 pm Ripp

        lolz. Strapon was ball gargling nate silver on here.

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 8:09 pm Greg Eliot

      I’ll tell you what, the way Strapon got royally spanked on polls back in 2016, but now has the chutzpah to come ’round chere again and act like it didn’t happen, makes that famous Goebbels quote look like it came from Christ Himself..

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 8:16 pm mendo

        most droll….smooth

        LikeLike


  6. on September 13, 2018 at 12:59 pm pyrrhus

    It will be a battle between low minority turnout, we hope, and massive vote fraud in the cities…

    LikeLike


  7. on September 13, 2018 at 1:01 pm pyrrhus

    My 8th grade history teacher called the 19th Amendment the Great Mistake…he saw the future.

    LikeLiked by 2 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:04 pm Bucky

      I think that you should at least own property to vote…you know, have a little skin in the game.

      LikeLike


  8. on September 13, 2018 at 1:01 pm Rick

    Don’t bother going to the polls . 81.8% chance of Democrats seizing the House gaining 38 seats. Just saying what the latest research has come up with.

    [CH: the latest research says you have an ashley judd autographed pussyhat]

    LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:05 pm Hey now

      99% chance of Hillary winning, you dumb cunt. How did that turn out?

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:06 pm Sentient

      You sucked Nate Silvers kike cock so hard he now has a foreskin.

      Da Goyim Know 😉

      #NeverForget

      [CH: lol strapon reporting for shabbos duty.]

      LikeLiked by 2 people


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:14 pm Sentient

        https://www.currentaffairs.org/2016/12/why-you-should-never-ever-listen-to-nate-silver

        LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:06 pm Ironsides

      So that’s why you’re here, eh, Tick?

      I was wondering what your specific mission was. Apparently, it’s to get us to not vote.

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:11 pm Sentient

        https://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/2016-election-worst-predictions-230806

        Polls he says… Polls!!!! lmfao.

        cue the Hillary crying videos… but but but they had… Teh Polls!!! Whaaaaaaa!!!!

        LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:11 pm Peterpaul

      Yes, but the same polls showed Hillary winning in 2016, for what they’re worth…

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:14 pm Sentient

      Part I of our “How The Press Failed You” Series…

      by NATHAN J. ROBINSON
      Of all people, Nate Silver should probably not have been gloating the morning after Election Day. After all, having made his reputation as a statistical wunderkind by predicting 49 states correctly in the 2008 race, Silver called five states wrong in the 2016 election, assuming Hillary Clinton would end up with 302 electoral votes (she got 232).

      In fact, the entire 2016 campaign season was been characterized by a series of spectacular Silver blunders. Not only did he notoriously give Hillary Clinton a greater than 99% chance of winning the Michigan primary (she lost), and bungle Indiana as well, but he spent much of the past 18 months emitting a series of embarrassing declarations as well as ludicrous prophecies that totally failed to materialize. Let us go through a sample:

      “I wonder how much of the Trump Bump is just voters trolling pollsters,” Two Good Reasons Not To Take the Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously — July 16, 2015.

      “Basically Trump is the Nickelback of presidential candidates. Disliked by most, super popular with a few.” — July 28, 2015

      “PREDICTION: Trump won’t be the Republican /nominee.” — Aug. 6, 2015

      “Media: Trump’s doing great! Nerds: No. Those polls don’t mean what you think. Media: A new poll shows Trump doing great! Proved you wrong!” — Aug. 9, 2015

      “Donald Trump is winning the polls and losing the nomination.” — Aug. 11, 2015

      “About 25% of Americans identify as Republican. Donald Trump’s getting about 25% of that 25% in the polls. Why is this impressive to people?” — Nov. 19, 2015

      “Dear media, Please stop freaking out about Donald Trump’s polls.” — Nov. 23, 2015.

      “As for me, I remain quite skeptical of Trump’s chances. I also think his nomination would be an unmitigated catastrophe for Republicans.” — Nov. 29, 2015

      “Idea that ‘Trump would win an election today’ also dubious. If election were today, voters would be more informed and news cycle different.” — Dec. 4, 2015

      (in response to Rupert Murdoch tweeting that Trump’s “cross-party appeal” was a “winning strategy”): “Actually, Trump is by far the least popular Republican with independents (and Democrats)”— Jan. 15, 2016

      “Wait it’s just now sinking in that Trump might be a wee bit problematic as a general election candidate?” — March 20, 2016

      “Trump’s general elex numbers have been terrible since he launched bid. Media barely noticed during 2015 Trumpmania.” — March 29, 2016

      “[Idea of Trump being presumptive nominee by mid-May] is delusional. Math doesn’t work.” — April 9, 2016

      “The bad news for Trump is that a poll showing him 5 points down is considered good news for Trump.” — June 26, 2016

      “Perhaps the worst take is the ‘Trump’s actually doing well to only be down by 7!!!’ take. He’s the least popular major-party nominee ever.” — Aug. 3, 2016

      “Trump has been super unpopular with the November electorate pretty much forever.” — Aug. 16, 2016

      “Trump is doubling down on a losing strategy.” — Aug. 18, 2016

      “[The] most delusional part of Trump thinking he has a silent majority is how small a fraction of the population he’s even bothering to appeal to.” — Aug. 13, 2016

      On the whole, it’s a humiliating record. In the primaries, Silver didn’t even do as well as Carl Diggler, a fictional parody-pundit who literally just makes stuff up based on whatever his gut tells him. Presuming Silver is supposed to be something different from the rest of the jabbering punditocracy, his career should be over.

      Yet bizarrely, in the days after the election, Silver was bragging about his performance. Silver insisted that after Election Night, he felt vindication, and scoffed that some major pundits had been “smugly dismissive of Trump’s chances.” Looking back on Silver’s record of statements on Trump, one wonders to which pundits he may have been referring. For over a year (July 2015 to Aug. 2016) he wrote smug “dear media” letters about Trump-hype and called Trump’s strategy “delusional,” insisting that Trump just didn’t understand the math. Having expressed regret after the primary for “acting like a pundit” and underestimating Trump, in the general election he was still acting like a pundit and underestimating Trump.

      Thus Silver took a cheerful victory lap, despite having totally failed, repeatedly and embarrassingly, to provide any information of use. He bases his claim to have succeeded off his having given Trump a somewhat higher probability of a win than some other people, despite still thinking Clinton was the definite favorite. But it doesn’t take a statistical genius to be cautious in a situation of high volatility. (The main reason Silver is being praised for being wrong is that a man named Sam Wang of something called the Princeton Election Consortium was even more wrong, giving Clinton a 99% probability of a win.)

      The myth of Nate Silver’s continued usefulness is based on a careful moving of goalposts. His initial claim to fame was based on number of states correctly predicted. But in 2016, if we measured by that number (especially if we subtracted the states whose outcomes were most obvious), Silver wouldn’t look good at all. So now we’re invited to focus on a different statistic, the percentage chance of an overall Trump win. Conversely, when it’s the percentage chance that goes wrong, Silver reminds us how many races he called correctly. Like a television psychic, Silver is able to carefully draw your attention to that which he gets right and ignore that which he gets wrong. If the probability percentages look good, but he screws up a large number of races, we should look at percentages. If those look terrible, as they did in Michigan, we should forget them and think about numbers of states.

      Similarly, Silver will make predictions that have multiple components, so that if one part fails, the overall prediction will seem to have come true, even if its coming true had no relation to the reasons Silver originally offered. See, e.g., “It’s a tight race. Clinton’s the favorite but close enough that Trump would probably pull ahead if he ‘wins’ debate.” Silver can look back and say “I saw that Trump could pull ahead.” But what he actually predicted was that Trump could pull ahead based on debate performance. If he pulls ahead for some other reason, Silver is completely wrong (because he had excluded that other possibility), yet he seems right.

      When one goes through Silver’s Twitter feed for the election cycle, one sees him predicting nearly every damn thing in the universe. Sometimes Clinton is winning, sometimes Trump is winning. Sometimes anything could happen, as in the below tweet:

      Each of these outcomes now about equally likely: —Clinton landslide (8+ point win) —Obamaish win (4-7 points) —Narrow Clinton win —Trump win

      Silver makes sure to hedge every statement carefully so that he can never actually be wrong. And when things don’t go his way, he lectures the public on their ignorance of statistics. After all, probability isn’t certainty, he didn’t say it would definitely happen. And of course, that’s completely true. But recognize what it means: even when Silver isn’t wrong, because he’s hedged everything carefully, he’s still not offering any information of value. Sophisticated mathematical modeling, just like punditry, can’t tell us much about the things we most need to know. It can’t predict the unpredictable, and the unpredictable is what matters most of all.

      Donald Trump was trying an untested experiment. You couldn’t easily put numbers on it. Anyone who did was destined to be pulling the statistics from their ass, because there was no way for human beings to access the relevant information. The critical question was not: what do the polls, after some defensible adjustments, say about the candidates’ chances? It was “What happens when a bombastic, widely disliked male real-estate tycoon and a technocratic, widely disliked female Secretary of State go up against one another in a highly volatile race involving race, economics, the FBI, Wikileaks, and sexual assault allegations?” Since nothing like this has ever happened in human history, it was destined to be the case that the best thing you could do was be somewhat cautious.

      Silver actually knows all of the limitations of his work, and states them openly: “Statistical models work well when you have a lot of data, and when the system you’re studying has a relatively low level of structural complexity. The presidential nomination process fails on both counts.” Thus the sneaky thing Silver does is this: he fills his work with caveats, but then turns around and writes articles like “The Six Stages of Donald Trump’s Doom,” in which he lays out very vivid, totally fantastical and unfounded, sets of forecasts about the future. In the primary, he foresaw a situation in which Bernie Sanders would win two states and then nowhere else, an idea that turned out to be doubly wrong (he lost one of the two, and then he won a bunch of others). None of this has any grounding beyond Silver’s gut.

      This is why Silver is irresponsible and untrustworthy. It’s not, as the Huffington Post stupidly alleged, that he’s a bad or biased statistician. It’s that he mingles solid statistical observations (of highly limited usefulness) with wild prophecy and the same old know-nothing horse-race punditry. He acts as if statistics and polls can tell us to some useful degree whether Trump’s highly unorthodox political strategy will work. He offers totally worthless speculative scenarios, such as Bernie Sanders losing all but two states, even though the dynamics that would lead to such scenarios are not accessible to human observation or prediction. And over the course of the election, he used his authority and credibility as a numbers genius to tell people not to worry about Donald Trump, and to treat those who were “freaking out” as if they had were idiots.

      But the central problem with Silver is that ultimately, he’s producing horse-race stuff. He doesn’t actually care about politics very much in terms of its human stakes. (In fact, according to journalist Doug Henwood, Silver once said that he “doesn’t give a shit” about politics.) He’s producing entertainment; people refresh FiveThirtyEight for the same reason that they watch actual horse races. But for anyone interested in the actual human lives affected by political questions, Silver’s analyses are of almost no help. They can tell us today that Silver thinks Trump has a 5% chance of winning. But then we might wake up tomorrow and find that Silver now thinks Trump has a 30% chance of winning. And the important question for anyone trying to affect the world, as opposed to just watching the events in it unfold, is how those chances can be made to change.

      That doesn’t mean there’s anything wrong with Nate Silver, just that nobody should ever pay any attention to him. Nate Silver will probably always be the best poll data analyst. The problem is that poll data analysts are completely fucking useless in a crisis. They don’t understand anything that’s going on around them, and they’re powerless to predict what’s about to happen next. Listening to anything they have to say is very, very dangerous. If you want to change anything, you’ve got to forget Nate Silver forever. That’s because he tells you entirely about the world as it looks to him right now, rather than the world as it could suddenly be tomorrow. He has no idea what the outer boundaries of the possible are. Nobody does.

      Nathan J. Robinson is the editor of Current Affairs

      LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:17 pm Donger

      Remember when NYT said Hillary 99% likely to win election?
      Trust no polls. Go back to your hole. Think about what you are.

      LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:25 pm Sentient

        The professional pollsters who devised meticulous methodologies for forecasting election results were also caught with egg on their faces. The Princeton Election Consortium gave Clinton a 99 percent chance of winning. The Huffington Post’s forecast gave Clinton 98 percent, PredictWise gave her 89 percent, and the New York Times’s The Upshot gave her 85 percent. Even FiveThirtyEight, which was the most bullish on Trump, gave Clinton over a 71 percent chance of winning.

        All of this, of course, gave us the most shocking election night in recent memory.

        LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:25 pm Sentient

        https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555

        LikeLiked by 1 person


      • on September 13, 2018 at 1:41 pm trav777

        ZH cataloged massive internal skews in their polling methodologies that made them unreliable.

        I don’t think EVERYONE was so stupid that they didn’t realize they had oversampled. They were fucking lying…Nate Silver tho, should have recognized it and been honest. But a kike’s gonna kike.

        That’s the REAL reality Trump exposed is that you cannot count on nearly ANYONE to obey principles instead of their own personal interests.

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:24 pm Sentient

      The professional pollsters who devised meticulous methodologies for forecasting election results were also caught with egg on their faces. The Princeton Election Consortium gave Clinton a 99 percent chance of winning. The Huffington Post’s forecast gave Clinton 98 percent, PredictWise gave her 89 percent, and the New York Times’s The Upshot gave her 85 percent. Even FiveThirtyEight, which was the most bullish on Trump, gave Clinton over a 71 percent chance of winning.

      All of this, of course, gave us the most shocking election night in recent memory.

      https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555

      #NeverForget

      #DGK;)

      LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 3:27 pm Lovekraft

      R u ghey?

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 3:51 pm hard9bf

      “Don’t bother going to the polls. 81.8% chance of Democrats seizing the House gaining 38 seats.”

      Are you sure it isn’t 81.752%? I guess you forgot about significant digits and excessive precision from your junior high maths — or maybe you’d already dropped out. How could anyone know it’s precisely 81.8, Rick?

      The (((pollsters))) oversample Diversity Party voters by 8%, so the polls are noise.

      President Trump’s base is fired up, brother. We’ll be showing up and BIGLY.

      Republicucks will notch gains in both chambers. President Trump will coast to his second term in 2020. MAWA.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 5:24 pm c matt

      Keep preaching it Rick! Worked well in 2016 – let all the Dem voters know it’s in the bag so no need for them to show up! They got this by 80%, right?

      LikeLike


    • on September 14, 2018 at 1:02 am Solon64

      Hey, I still remember when they said Hillary had a 98% chance of winning.

      How’d that work out for her?

      LikeLike


    • on September 15, 2018 at 10:29 am Canadian Friend

      That 81 % is as real as the 95 % chance Hillary had of being elected

      LikeLike


  9. on September 13, 2018 at 1:02 pm discocrotch

    What bothers me, if the Dems win, is that they’ll shut down all the Spygate investigations in addition to starting their impeachment nonsense. Sickening what’s become of this country when there are more traitors than patriots in positions of power. Clown world indeed, my friends.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:11 pm Jonathan Castle

      It’s been clown-world for many generations.
      We know it now.

      People like Rick want to go back in time and have us forget what we’ve seen. Not gonna happen.

      LikeLike


  10. on September 13, 2018 at 1:08 pm Tom

    A big win for the Democrats is preferable. Then they might actually impeach Trump. I hope they do.

    I hope so because it might convince the legacy population that there’s no point in looking for legal and constitutional ways to save themselves. They might finally understand – not before time – that they either accept their fate or go to war.

    I’m not hopeful. This fine site is on wordpress which will sooner or later shut it down. They would have memory-holed it already if Hillary had won. This is no way to organize an undergound resistance. Is it actually out there somewhere on the dark web, tor or i2p, and I missed it? Probably not. When – not if, but when – all these dissident sites are shut down, it’ll be game over. Enjoy it while you can.

    LikeLiked by 3 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 2:32 pm markpower49

      No need for underground. Trump, or whoever comes after him says the word, and 10 million white men burn DC to the ground. But it would take someone like Trump to lead. Anything underground gets one arrested.

      LikeLike


  11. on September 13, 2018 at 1:16 pm Guest

    GOP will gain 3-6 seats in the Senate. Schumer knows this to be the case, which is why he’s standing aside on judicial nominations. If he thought the Dems would pick up seats in the Senate he would be blocking nominations. He’s opting for comity and goodwill knowing he’s going to be even deeper in the minority. Senate will trend Republican as the flyover states become more reliably red.

    GOP will lose seats in the House, but will maintain a majority. All eyes should be on the North Carolina redistricting litigation, in which the Federal Courts are attempting to usurp from the States the authority to draw Congressional District boundaries they deem to be unfair to Democrats. If the Supreme Court doesn’t overturn the 4th Circuit the GOP will lose the House in 2020, permanently.

    Trump either starts building the wall or loses in 2020. Florida turns blue by 2024, Texas by 2028. Trump is probably the last Republican President in the history of the Republic. Enjoy it while it lasts.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


  12. on September 13, 2018 at 1:16 pm Space Viking

    I’m actually going to have to cast a vote for Ted fuckin’ Cruz. It disgusts me, but at least he’s Team Trump for now and not a democrat.

    LikeLiked by 2 people


    • on September 13, 2018 at 2:31 pm c matt

      We are in the same predicament. Cruz is too comfy with Israhell for my liking, but no way am I voting for Beta.

      LikeLike


  13. on September 13, 2018 at 1:16 pm TLM

    Not sure on who gets the house, but 100% positive we’ll have a dumb brown bartender as a freakin Congresswoman from NY. Funny ,yes, but when compared against the country’s first elected Congress, it’s really depressing to see how far we’ve fallen.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:22 pm Donger

      Big scary eyes…
      it’s not an invasion. The pilgrims brought tacos. Oh and smallpox blankets. Feel bad for the REAL Americans.
      It’s their turn now (note: they being a people who have never once appeared in important historic texts since the renaissance thru ww2) so pay for their ‘bortions and ‘beetus
      Don’t be racist now

      LikeLike


  14. on September 13, 2018 at 1:18 pm williamk

    Many pro-Trump voters will have to suck it up and vote for their local GOP cuck.

    I think its an issue that many are not fully aware they aren’t voting for or against a single Dem vs a single GOP. We are voting for or against impeachment. Media and Dems are purposely keeping impeachment talk to a minimum, pretending they wouldn’t just automatically impeach no matter what if they get a majority. They would.

    If you’re in a district thats anywhere close, you gotta turn out and vote GOP. I don’t care if its for a Chamber of Commerce cuck. GOP keeps the House, it keeps being able to do its investigations and gives Trump maximum maneuverability.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


  15. on September 13, 2018 at 1:18 pm Hugh Jenniks

    That’s why Trump should order the Army Corps of Engineers to build the wall NOW.

    Even if they hold the house , they’ll kick the can down the road and say “it’s better if we wait till after the 2020 election.”

    & meanwhile the demographics clock keeps ticking.

    LikeLiked by 1 person


    • on September 13, 2018 at 1:42 pm trav777

      we don’t really need a big wall, we can do with cameras, concertina wire, and machine guns

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 8:16 pm Greg Eliot

        Don’t forget the Claymores… but make sure WHITE soldiers set them up (so they get the instructions on the front correct). 😉

        /This Side Toward Enemy rape!

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 2:44 pm SteveRogers42

      They’ve had a lotta practice putting up HESCO barriers over the last 17 years.

      The SeaBees would be happy to help, too.

      LikeLike


  16. on September 13, 2018 at 1:52 pm BRUH

    LOL YALL BITTERCUCKS HATE YA OWN WOMEN

    LikeLike


  17. on September 13, 2018 at 2:16 pm stg58animalmother

    Polls are consensus
    Consensus is feminine
    Feminine is herd mind
    Fuck the polls
    Fuck the herd mind

    LikeLike


  18. on September 13, 2018 at 2:20 pm john milton

    As for polls, remember the uncertainty principle: the act of measuring it changes it. Whether it makes more people vote or fewer people vote, and from which party, you won’t know until after the final results. But publishing poll results will tend to make some people lose hope and not bother to vote, and other people figure their side is so far ahead they don’t need to vote. All one can really count on is that the poll is wrong. As for which way, who knows?

    LikeLike


  19. on September 13, 2018 at 2:30 pm Gnx90

    “As I’ve been saying for a while, our unregulated womenfolk will be the end of our nation”

    Very true. Women are proving every day why their gender doesn’t deserve to be treated on par with men in the public arena. But in an “equality and love” obsessed society, facts don’t pass for arguments and feels rule political discourse, so I don’t expect this mistake to be corrected in our times.

    LikeLike


  20. on September 13, 2018 at 3:13 pm Carlos Danger

    I’m with Earl in my prediction.

    LikeLike


  21. on September 13, 2018 at 4:05 pm javaloco

    “As I’ve been saying for a while, our unregulated womenfolk will be the end of our nation. 2018 may seal the deal.”

    Whenever I see some bullshit funding/policy announcement, a condemnation of a thing I hold dear, or any other silliness that has a human source, I hold my breath and read. Sure enough, 80% of the time (estimate) it is a woman.

    LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 5:50 pm Lovekraft

      Wondering how the latino women reacted to Selena Gomez being groped by the black pastor. It may make more than a few consider getting off the Democrat plantation to where there’s at least a glimmer of hope, with the Repubs, that they can break free of this association.

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 5:56 pm Ironsides

      Die Schlampe ist unser Unglück.

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 8:19 pm Greg Eliot

        Sie wer fremdt geht, kommt nich zurück!

        LikeLike


  22. on September 13, 2018 at 4:29 pm November 2018 Midterm Election Prediction | Reaction Times

    […] Source: Heartiste […]

    LikeLike


  23. on September 13, 2018 at 5:55 pm JOSEPH ANGEL

    I have faith in my God Emperor. The only other two men in history as persecuted/impugned as him were Jesus and Hitler and both were falsely accused.

    LikeLike


  24. on September 13, 2018 at 6:23 pm cortesar

    I don’t care about any of this shit. I don’t care about Russia investigations. I don’t care who’s smearing you.

    I’m looking directly at you wondering why you haven’t done anything to stop immigration legal/illegal.

    That’s literally all your voters elected you for. https://t.co/eJEuLneDuM

    — White Internationalist Hot Takes (@110neveragain) September 13, 2018

    LikeLike


  25. on September 13, 2018 at 6:34 pm Lichthof

    I’ve already mentally prepared for the worse. With Trump it’s the hope that kills you and at times I’d rather be circa our 2015 CH position of drinking beer poolside watching it burn and laughing about it.
    When Trump won I always thought it was too soon. I thought globohomo needed a few more years to unravel completely.

    There is no future in globohomo. It has never worked in history, (((they))) keep trying it in different forms and it keeps collapsing.
    Rome is obviously the most famous example.

    Sorry dudes but when even Reagan brought in an immigration amnesty there is little hope.
    The future has to a breakaway nation or we go live someplace else.

    The positives:
    I know woke dudes and their kids who have knocked it out of the park when it comes to women, jobs etc as the globohomo competition is an embarrassment.
    The goolag types do not make women wet.

    I dont hate non whites. Nigs nig, street shitters shit on the street. Its shitlib whites I hate and they will be marmalized one way or the other.
    We will emerge stronger and fitter.

    LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 8:27 pm Gunslingergregi

      Hate shitlibs lol allways whites against whites
      You like nigs though hey gj
      You are a self hating shitlib trololozlolzolz

      LikeLike


      • on September 13, 2018 at 8:36 pm Lichthof

        No I dont like non whites and avoid them. I hate white shitlibs.

        LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 9:17 pm Gunslingergregi

      Well yea it’s over ROFL lichof is a shitlib
      It’s not really that bad I guess whites will be fucking with each other all the way up till they are gone

      LikeLike


    • on September 13, 2018 at 10:01 pm Gunslingergregi

      I know I dont hate non whites
      The white rules on divorce just don’t work for me
      I’m glad there are places in the world that are different from the place I grew up
      There are other worlds than this for now anyway

      LikeLike


  26. on September 14, 2018 at 8:28 am CozyAndWarm (@CozyAndWarm)

    >Trump gets to beat the shit out of them for inaction doing nothing for two years

    Pffft, as if that will convince leftist voters, as leftist-voting third-worlders continue pouring into this country and reproducing exponentially over the next two years.

    Whoever wrote that email is retarded.

    LikeLike


  27. on September 14, 2018 at 8:58 am Carlos Danger

    LikeLike


    • on September 14, 2018 at 1:24 pm Amon Ra

      https://vigilantcitizen.com

      LikeLike


  28. on September 15, 2018 at 12:16 am Dirty Randy

    After spending the first two years of his presidency undoing Barry Dunham-Obama’s legacy, Trump will use the next two years using his phone and his pen to enact MASSIVE executive/administrative policies. Presidents want divided chambers because they can say they have to act in the face of Congressional inaction. The Dems are going to regret winning the House.

    LikeLike


    • on September 15, 2018 at 12:51 am Dude

      They aren’t going to win the House. And Trump is devolving the power of the executive along with the Leviathan of the Federal Govt, back to the states and local governments. .

      LikeLike


  29. on September 16, 2018 at 4:12 pm Pookish

    As I’ve been saying for a while, our unregulated womenfolk will be the end of our nation. 2018 may seal the deal.

    No, you’ve been an an eager proponent of the unregulation of our womenfolk for the last ten years so you can get your pound and a half of flesh. You, more than any one single blogger could be, is responsible for the end of the nation if this is the cause.

    LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 8:30 am Agent x

      Yup. A good portion of the manosphere cheerleads the collapse because of the metric assloads of hopelessly damaged snatch it produces.

      Pussy flowed freely in Weimar Berlin too….

      LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 9:06 am PA

        They can knock themselves out on brown obese pussy.

        LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 9:46 am Ironsides

        Being some kind of beady-eyed fanatic, sex means a good deal less to me than procreation. The metric assloads of hopelessly damaged snatch possess no charm for me and simply cause depression when encountered.

        That’s not to say that I’m some kind anti-sex puritan, but it’s kind of like eating a specific tasty food. Sure, it’s fine to enjoy, but it’s hardly an obsession when there’s so much more interesting stuff in the world as well.

        No, what my heart is yearning for to bursting is my own little clan. A history that is continuing to write itself. Something that prevents the future from being no more than a hollow gulf of empty, purposeless darkness.

        To know that there are several people in whom my eyes, and the eyes of my fathers before me, will look on the boundless future even when my gaze is “rounded with a sleep,” to know that all the struggle and sacrifice of those thousands before me of whom I am currently the vessel was not in vain.

        The metric assloads of damaged snatch are a barrier to that. It’s a catastrophe which may prevent me from attaining what every atom is currently yearning for. And for that reason, I hate it, and have always hated it since I became aware of it.

        Sure, I know I can get a random phuck pretty much anytime I want. And haven’t for many years, because that’s not actually what I want.

        (You’ll notice that I only lightly and peripherally participate in discussions of “Game” in its pick-up sense. Which is because, like Pookish, I am actually the deadly enemy of the “PUA” culture, which is contributing to the ruin of our nations hand-in-hand with feminism and all other kinds of madness.)

        LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 10:04 am PA

        The object of urgency shifts from Sex to Procreation with age. Younger guys on manosphere blogs dont understand that the sexual market is dynamic and operates in an open system.

        When social conditions go bad, quality (hot young tight) women go scarce. They exist but sequester themselves out of sight. Weimar whores were pretty young blondes. But in modern post-collapse West, the average single guy would be left with brown malformed landwhales.

        The era of free love was a blip in history. The sweet young willing poon of ’70s Skynyrd concerts ready for the picking lasted for a moment. Mystery Method of a decade ago was the last gasp of pussy paradise.

        It’s either White patriarchy with free love on the margins or black hippos in the jungle.

        [CH: i’ve argued that mystery method was a reaction to a dysfunctional sexual market, a necessary adjustment to “court” hsmv women who had turned in an r-selected direction and who are rarer than in previous eras (thanks to numerous factors including obesity and gogrrlism). my point was that game had become a prerequisite to enjoying what your game-less grandpa got with less hassle from younger, hotter, tighter. i would say that MM is/was less a “last gasp” of a disappearing poosy paradise than a frantic course correction to exploit an emerging parched poosyscape]

        LikeLike


      • on September 17, 2018 at 12:08 pm Carlos Danger

        As someone who was there, women were less promiscuous then than now and generally prettier. As always the myth exceeds the reality.

        LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 9:22 am Greg Eliot

      Sometimes it’s tough for the “little haid” to discern the difference between wry observation and outright cheerleading.

      Or, as gramps used to say: “A stiff dick seldom has a conscience.”

      LikeLike


  30. on September 16, 2018 at 5:17 pm frank632

    The majority of women 15-35 are flaming left wing liberals. And that age group is where the overwhelming majority of the most attractive women reside. I think that trying to portray all left wing women as unattractive, fat or a combination thereof is coping. I live in a big ten college town and I could point to a random young woman on the street and odds are, she’s very liberal.

    I think that left wing women are portrayed as unattractive is because it’s likely that an liberal white girl would be open to sexual relations with non white men more so than a conservative white girl would be. So it’s just easier to tell your self that most liberal white girls are fat/unattractive while most attractive white girls are conservative. When nothing could be farther from the truth.

    LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 8:40 am Agent x

      Agreed, but most of the politically and socially active ones are fuggos.

      It’s one thing to join the clucking for the limitless self aggrandizement and blaming of problems on others. And the constant focus on maximizing their sexual exhibitionism at work, school, or in public. That’s always fun.

      But it takes a supreme level of broken psyche, destroyed self perception, and plain anger to join the harpy masses because all that marching and schoolmarming takes time away from drinking, fucking right wing men, and just having FUN!!@@^$!!!!

      If you spend enough time listening between the lines, especially to feminist comedians who are riding the wave, not leading it, most women know it’s all monstrously bullshit. It’s why their sexual tolerance for white knights is so low. They’re just disgusted at someone so pathetic they go along with something everyone knows is BS even when they aren’t getting anything out of it.

      I’m not saying women are /ourgals, just that a good portion know it’s silly. Like most kids know it’s not a good idea to eat way too much candy but they’ll do it anyways for the feelz. Women are just the oldest children in the room.

      LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 9:29 am Greg Eliot

      I think that left wing women are portrayed as unattractive is because it’s likely that an liberal white girl would be open to sexual relations with non white men more so than a conservative white girl would be. So it’s just easier to tell your self that most liberal white girls are fat/unattractive while most attractive white girls are conservative. When nothing could be farther from the truth.

      Or, just look at the trash that mudsharks.

      Hollyvood and (((MSM))) commercials aren’t reflecting reality, chum.

      For every passable or even attractive White girl on the eventual “pay a toll” bridge, there are easily 15 questionable types the White race might easily spare.

      And while many a well-intentioned lass may pay lip service to the equality express, a much, much, MUCH lesser percentage would actually ride the train.

      Think of it as “Gated community” gambit.

      [CH: frank is utterly mistaken. a raft of studies have shown that conservatives, men and women, are more physically attractive than shitlibs. and yes most mudsharks are foul fat beasts no white man would touch with strapon’s strapon.]

      LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 9:31 am Greg Eliot

      While many a well-intentioned young White liberal lass may pay lip service to the equality express, a much, much, MUCH lesser percentage would actually ride the train.

      Think “gated community”..

      LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 9:39 am Greg Eliot

      While there will always be a passable or even attractive White woman that will mudshark, the vast majority are specimens the White race could easily spare… and that’s with a constant bombardment of agitprop from (((MSM))).

      LikeLike


    • on September 17, 2018 at 10:01 am Carlos Danger

      Most women are liberal because they are stupid and associate it with being nice and kind. A strong man will change that without any trouble.

      LikeLike



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